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Dashboard Overview

The Cliff Horizon client dashboard — 9 tabs covering analytics, calibration, markets, and derivatives.

The dashboard is the product for Tiers 1 and 2. It's not a wrapper around the engine — it IS the interface between calibrated probability and a commercial decision.

Design Philosophy

  • Dark trading-desk theme — designed for professional use, not consumer aesthetics
  • Probability-first — every metric shows probability with confidence, not point estimates
  • Audit trail — every prediction links back to its data sources and methodology
  • Upgrade path visible — Tier 1 clients see what Tier 2 and Tier 3 unlock

Tab Architecture

TabPurposeAudience
OverviewProject selector, 5 metric cards, risk alerts feed, charts, portfolio aggregationAll tiers
Forecast4-variable probability cards, 10-day multi-variable chart, delay risk assessmentAll tiers
ExplorerCustom scenario builder for prospects — pre-onboarding risk profilingProspects / sales
ScenarioWhat-if simulator with slider-driven modelling and protection waterfallAll tiers
MarketsForecastEx contract scanner, edge calculation, Brier score comparisonInternal / proof
DerivativesParametric derivative structures, pricing waterfall, full contract termsTier 3 / Ensuro
CalibrationReliability diagram, Brier scores, accuracy by variableAll tiers
PerformanceMonthly accuracy trends, edge attribution, accuracy by lead timeInternal / sales
WarrantyVariance gauge, SC formula, warranty history, coverage summaryTier 2

Key Features

Project Selector

Multi-project support — each client can monitor weather risk across multiple sites from a single dashboard. The Overview tab aggregates portfolio-level risk.

Risk Alerts

Configurable thresholds per project and variable. Push notifications when probabilities cross client-defined trigger levels.

Data Provenance

Every prediction stores: timestamp, NWP sources ingested, bias correction parameters applied, ensemble weights, raw and calibrated probabilities. This audit trail is required for Tier 2 warranty verification.

ROI Tracker (Planned)

For Tier 2 clients: real-time calculation of weather events flagged, delay costs avoided, and warranty value delivered — the renewal conversation in a single panel.